Presidential Approval Ratings on Midterm Elections

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Show simple item record Ajibola, Olayinka 2019-05-02T21:03:56Z 2019-05-02T21:03:56Z 2019-04-09
dc.description.abstract This paper examines midterm elections in the quest to find the evidence which accounts for the electoral loss of the party controlling the presidency. The first set of theory, the regression to the mean theory, explained that as the stronger the presidential victory or seats gained in previous presidential year, the higher the midterm seat loss. The economy/popularity theories, elucidate midterm loss due to economic condition at the time of midterm. My paper assesses to know what extent approval rating affects the number of seats gain/loss during the election. This research evaluates both theories’ and the aptness to expound midterm seat loss at midterm elections. The findings indicate that both theories deserve some credit, that the economy has some impact as suggested by previous research, and the regression to the mean theories offer somewhat more accurate predictions of seat losses. A combined/integrated model is employed to test the constant, and control variables to explain the aggregate seat loss of midterm elections since 1946. en_US
dc.subject Approval Ratings en_US
dc.subject Congressional Elections en_US
dc.subject Midterm en_US
dc.subject Presidential Elections en_US
dc.subject House of Representatives en_US
dc.title Presidential Approval Ratings on Midterm Elections en_US
dc.type Article en_US

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